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Is home ownership a good thing? The
question seems outrageous. Even
debating it can suggest that the questioner
hasn’t the right understanding of
what life is all about.
But ownership tends to mean subsidy, so
owning is about tax subsidies. In the U.S.,
home ownership is subsidized by mortgage
interest deductibility. There is no such subsidy
in Canada, though we have provincial
subsidies for repairs, insulation and furnace
upgrades. The federal Home Buyer’s Plan
allows you to take up to $25,000 from your
RRSP for use in home purchase, often to
make a down payment, on condition the
money is repaid over 15 years starting the
second year after withdrawal.
The problem in building home ownership
on the commercial, tax-deductible-loan
model is that as an owners’ equity in their
property falls, their willingness to pack up
and move out in hard times rises. U.S. foreclosures
are highest in states such as
Florida and Nevada, which had the highest
ratios of subprime mortgages, that is, loans
given to people who could not afford them.
Some were also negative amortization
loans. In these cases, people can "own" a
house even though their mortgages allow
them to pay less than interest actually generated
by their debts. Their total debt then
increases. Confronted by rising interest
charges and falling equity, a sensible owner
will often bolt. No one should be surprised
that subprime negative-amortization loans
turned out to be disasters.
Foreclosure and abandonment are a
spreading disaster. Whole streets, neighbourhoods
and even condo high rises wind
up abandoned by their overly-leveraged
owner/debtors. It would be less likely to
happen if it were possible to sell a piece of
a condo or a few rooms of a house to pay
off some debt. It isn’t, and owner-occupied
housing is thus what one may call a sticky
asset. Ownership is an all or nothing deal
that makes or breaks family finances.
Andrew Allentuck
Fear resides in what is owed. Most people
buy their houses via mortgages. They put
up a quarter of the price for conventional
mortgages or as little as 5 to 10 per cent for
high-ratio mortgages. They are then 75 to
90 per cent short on
their largest asset. In
the stock market, 50
per cent is regarded as
a limit for the typical
margin loan. The only
hedge is that the home
provides a place to live
while the owner slaves
to pay off the debt.
For now, at least,
ownership has
never looked better,
even if it is a risky
adventure into
leveraged finance.
It’s an unbalanced
contest. If things go
well, the owner ends
his short position and
gets a house clear of
debt. If things go badly, the owner runs
away and the lender winds up with a lousy
asset
Homeowners can be passive beneficiaries
or victims of neighbourhood change for
better or worse. If a neighbourhood
improves, the house price tends to rise. This
is a gain in book value in contrast to the situation
of a renter who, if the neighbourhood
is gentrified, may find the landlord
demanding higher rents. Over a period of
years, benevolent neighbourhood change
adds equity and makes a mortgage an even
better investment. If the neighbourhood
changes for the worse, the process becomes
perverse.
For Sale signs can spring up as owners try
to sell before property prices drop even further.
Then existing owners, especially those
with high-ratio mortgages, may feel they
have little incentive to stay. In condos, a rising
rate of abandonment tosses more costs
for common areas and general maintenance
on a declining number of owners. Those
rising costs push out even more owners.
The condo corporations can then go bankrupt.
The risk is quite real.
On balance, is it worthwhile owning a
home? For the individual owner, I’d have to
say yes. Housing is about the only potentially
appreciating capital asset you can buy
with 5% down. Note that car loans, even
with zero interest, involve depreciating
assets. The homeowner
takes on a huge risk and
duties of asset maintenance,
neighbourhood
change for better or worse,
and can be chased by creditors
for failure to maintain
mortgage payments.
Yet in the present mortgage
market, in which
interest rates are at historically
low levels, ownership
is incredibly cheap. The
rent or own comparison, in
which one tries to balance
the cost of paying a landlord vs. the risk of
paying a bank, tilts heavily in favour of paying
a lender over a landlord. An owner who
can transfer a low-interest-rate mortgage to
his own buyer can add to the value of the
home. For now, at least, ownership has
never looked better, even if it is a risky
adventure into leveraged finance.
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